Our betting expert offers three tips for this afternoon’s Premier League match between Manchester City and Everton at the Etihad Stadium (12.30pm kick-off). Continue reading for the detailed analysis behind the chosen selections.
Manchester City vs Everton betting tips
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Light Blues back to their brilliant best
Manchester City should have no problems against a struggling Everton side on Saturday and should return to the Premier League summit with a win. The schedule means that Pep Guardiola’s side can gain the psychological advantage of going top of the table for at least a couple of hours, with Liverpool taking on Burnley at Anfield later in the day.
The defending champions won 3-1 at Goodison Park in December and the Toffees had gone into that game in much better form than they are now. And the Light Blues’ injury list was much longer then, with stars Kevin De Bruyne and Erling Haaland both unavailable.
Guardiola has a full squad to choose from for this match, so he may be tempted to save one or two big names for Tuesday’s Champions League round-of-16 first leg in Copenhagen – but that favourable draw also could persuade him to give priority to this domestic engagement.
Whichever players come in will be more than capable of testing Sean Dyche’s men in any case. City have a strong head-to-head record against the Toffees and have won 12 of the past 13 meetings between the teams. The exception was a 1-1 draw in the Premier League encounter at the Etihad last season, but City have won twice at Goodison since then.
Everton are struggling for goals and have failed to find the net in their previous three away matches, while they have notched only four times in their past seven outings in all competitions.
That is a decent recipe for a clear home win. City have scored 10 and conceded only a 90th-minute consolation goal by Burnley in their previous three outings at the Etihad.
As Guardiola’s team are 1/6 favourites to win the match, taking them at -2 on the handicap to win by three or more goals offers some value at 7/5.
Manchester City vs Everton tip 1: Manchester City -2 handicap @ 7/5 with Paddy Power
Alvarez good value for a goal
City needed only one scorer to triumph at Brentford last Monday. Phil Foden got all three of their goals to neutralise the Bees and he may be a popular pick to net against Everton too, as he has scored four times in nine games against the Toffees. But it is his teammate Julian Alvarez who is the preferred anytime goalscorer choice for this game.
The Argentina forward has been among the scorers in each of his past three appearances at the Etihad, with two goals to celebrate his 24th birthday in the 3-1 victory over Burnley after he was also on target in the league win over Sheffield United and the FA Cup rout of Huddersfield.
Alvarez has already scored against Everton this season, converting a penalty in the 3-1 win at Goodison in December, and he can add to his tally of eight Premier League goals with another strong home performance.
Manchester City vs Everton tip 2: Julian Alvarez to score anytime @ 11/10 with Paddy Power
Branthwaite booking backed in bet builder
The first leg of this bet builder is for both teams not to score in the match, which is most likely to happen by City winning the game to nil.
Guardiola has John Stones available again to boost his defensive options – and while the Light Blues have conceded in each of their past two games, having achieved back-to-back 3-1 wins, five of the victories in their current nine-match winning streak have been to nil.
Leg two requires City to post a double-figure corners total, which tends to happen when they dominate games. The champions have taken 11 or more corners in four of their past five matches, with 13 against both Brentford and Newcastle, and 14 against Tottenham in the FA Cup.
The final selection is for Everton defender Jarrad Branthwaite to receive a yellow card, as he did in the teams’ December meeting at Goodison.
The 21-year-old centre back has been booked seven times this season, including in the recent 0-0 draw at Fulham. He was the Toffees’ hero at home to Tottenham with his last-gasp equaliser, but could struggle to contain the tricky City forwards again.
Manchester City vs Everton tip 3: Bet builder: both teams to score – no, over 9.5 Manchester City corners and Jarrad Branthwaite to be shown a card @ 23/1 with Paddy Power
Manchester City vs Everton odds
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Manchester City vs Everton team news
Haaland and Manuel Akanji were both back in the squad against Brentford and could return to the starting XI this afternoon.
Manchester City predicted line-up (4-1-4-1): Ederson; Walker, Dias, Stones, Gvardiol; Rodri; Bernardo, De Bruyne, Alvarez, Foden; Haaland
Arnaut Danjuma was absent against Spurs and is likely to miss today’s game along with Andre Gomes and Dele Alli. Dyche could welcome midfield duo Amadou Ounana and Abdoulaye Doucoure back to the fold after their respective recoveries from a knee and hamstring injury.
Everton predicted line-up (4-5-1): Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Harrison, Garner, Gueye, Onana, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin
Last six results
December 30 PL Manchester City 2 Sheffield United 0 W
January 7 FAC Manchester City 5 Huddersfield Town 0 W
January 13 PL Newcastle United 2 Manchester City 3 W
January 26 FAC Tottenham Hotspur 0 Manchester City 1 W
January 31 PL Manchester City 3 Burnley 1 W
February 5 PL Brentford 1 Manchester City 3 W
January 4 FAC Crystal Palace 0 Everton 0 D
January 14 PL Everton 0 Aston Villa 0 D
January 17 FAC Everton 1 Crystal Palace 0 W
January 27 FAC Everton 1 Luton Town 2 L
January 30 PL Fulham 0 Everton D
February 3 PL Everton 2 Tottenham Hotspur 2 D
PL Premier League FAC FA Cup